No. 19 seed Madison Keys’ quest for her first Grand Slam title has taken her to the 2025 Australian Open semifinals, the place she’ll face five-time Grand Slam champion, No. 2 seed Iga Swiatek. The American, Keys, is competing in her forty sixth main event, with a last look on the 2017 U.S. Open being her greatest end. In the meantime, Swiatek is a former World No. 1 however has but to advance previous the semis Down Below. The Australian Open 2025 would be the sixth assembly between Keys and Swiatek, with the latter proudly owning the 4-1 edge.
The winner will then face the victor of Aryna Sabaleneka vs. Paula Badosa within the 2025 Australian Open ladies’s last. Madison Keys vs. Iga Swiatek will start at 5 a.m. ET on Thursday from Rod Laver Area in Melbourne, Australia. Swiatek is the -600 favourite (threat $600 to win $100) within the newest Keys vs. Swiatek odds, whereas Keys is the +400 underdog (threat $100 to win $400). The over/beneath for complete video games is nineteen.5, with Swiatek favored by 5.5 video games. Earlier than you make any Swiatek vs. Keys picks or 2025 Australian Open predictions, you need to see what tennis expert Jose Onorato has to say.
Onorato grew up enjoying aggressive tennis in Caracas, Venezuela. After coming to the U.S., he skilled with famed coach Nick Bollettieri at IMG Academy in Florida and confronted gamers like Robert Farah, now one of many world’s top-ranked doubles gamers.
Onorato, who holds twin levels in finance and economics from the College of Miami, does intensive analysis earlier than putting any tennis bets. He research present type, gamers’ tendencies on a selected floor, climate situations and plenty of different related elements. That systematic method helped Onorato go 168-106-9 – up 107.12 models – since 2022. Within the 2024 US Open, he included Jannik Sinner (+320) in his greatest bets. Anybody who has adopted him at sportsbooks and on betting apps might be manner up.
Now, Onorato has scrutinized the most recent Australian Open 2025 odds and launched his coveted betting picks and greatest bets for the Keys vs. Swiatek ladies’s semifinal match. He’s only sharing his picks and expert analysis at SportsLine.
Why Swiatek can cowl
Swiatek has not dropped a single set throughout her Aussie run and has by no means actually been examined. She hasn’t misplaced greater than two video games in any set over her final 4 matches, whereas Keys has been pushed to the restrict in three of her final 4 matches. Swiatek additionally entered the Australian Open 2025 with momentum as she superior to the ultimate in her final event, which additionally happened on an Australian laborious court docket on the crew occasion 2025 United Cup.
A five-time Grand Slam champion, Swiatek has confirmed herself within the later rounds of main tournaments, one thing that Keys has but to do because the American has no Grand Slam wins, and only one last look, over her 16-year profession. The Polish participant additionally holds the head-to-head benefit, profitable 4 of 5 matchups, together with each battles in 2024. Swiatek has prevailed in straight units in every of these 4 victories and was completely dominant with a 6-1, 6-0 victory over Keys on one other laborious court docket at Indian Wells in 2022. See who to back at SportsLine.
Why Keys can cowl
Keys enters Thursday’s match with loads of confidence as she’s already knocked off a pair of top-10 seeded gamers on this event in No. 10 Danielle Collins and No. 6 Elena Rybakina. Then got here the quarterfinal in opposition to No. 28 Elina Svitolina, by which Keys displayed her resolve by overcoming a misplaced first set. Although Keys has but to win a Grand Slam, she is most snug on laborious surfaces as 4 of her 9 profession singles titles have come on laborious courts, which is greater than another floor.
Keys additionally will not be intimidated by Swiatek’s resume or her No. 2 rating, because the American’s lone victory over a World No. 1 got here versus Swiatek in 2022. That was at one other laborious court docket on the Cincinnati Open, and Keys prevailed in straight units. Add in that Keys simply gained the Adelaide Worldwide in Australia two weeks in the past, and he or she has the entire instruments is takes to not solely steal a few video games off Swiatek however to additionally advance to her first Australian Open last. See who to back at SportsLine.
How one can make Swiatek vs. Keys picks
Along with his full evaluation, Onorato has launched his greatest bets for this semifinal showdown. You’ll want to see Onorato’s picks and analysis before locking in your 2025 Australian Open picks for Keys vs. Swiatek.
Who wins Swiatek vs. Keys within the ladies’s semifinals of the 2025 Australian Open, and what decide might result in an enormous return? Visit SportsLine now to see Jose Onorato’s best bets for Keys vs. Swiatek, all from the tennis expert who knows the game from a player’s perspective, and discover out.
