Philadelphia 76ers vs. Miami Warmth and Sacramento Kings vs. Detroit Pistons are the one two video games on Monday’s NBA schedule and so they each have seeding implications for the NBA playoff image. The Warmth and Kings will probably be within the NBA Play-In Event, however the Warmth might transfer out of the primary elimination sport with a robust near the common season and climb to the No. 7 or No. 8 seed within the Japanese Convention. The Kings hope to retain homecourt in that first elimination sport within the Western Convention because the No. 9 seed. Warmth heart Bam Adebayo has scored not less than 21 factors in 4 straight video games and his over/underneath for complete factors is 20.5 on FanDuel Sportsbook, in comparison with 21.5 on nearly all of different betting apps, so is {that a} wager to incorporate in Monday NBA participant props?

The SportsLine Projection Mannequin simulates each NBA sport 10,000 occasions and has returned nicely over $10,000 for $100 gamers on its top-rated NBA picks over the previous six-plus seasons. One of many Information Scientists behind the mannequin, Stephen Oh (@StephenOhCBS), analyzed the sim outcomes and broke down the supporting proof to disclose which participant props have the very best worth for as we speak’s slate. The NBA odds might change, so act now for optimum worth.

Bam Adebayo Over 13.5 rebounds + assists (-136) 

Adebayo has gone Over this complete in three of his final six video games, together with having 12 rebounds and 5 assists in opposition to the Bucks on Saturday. He is had no fewer than 11 rebounds + assists in every of these six video games, so he is both been over or proper at this mark over the past two weeks. “I just like the matchup vs the undersized and undermanned 76ers,” Oh mentioned. “This needs to be certainly one of Bam’s double-digit rebound video games. His Over 13.5 is a robust 22-17 at residence this season and a really robust 9-3 when the Warmth are favored by not less than -8, although he averages 4 fewer minutes per sport.”

The mannequin initiatives 11 rebounds and 5 assists for Adebayo on Monday, that are each Over these particular person traces, however the mannequin finds the very best worth comes from combining the 2. FanDuel continues to be providing this complete at 13.5, whereas different sportsbooks have moved it to 14.5, and Oh loves the prospect to get 13.5 when you can. 

Ausar Thompson Over 2.5 steals + blocks (+115)

The No. 5 general choose within the 2023 NBA Draft has gone Over this quantity in two of his final three video games. The mannequin initiatives him at 2.6 steals + blocks, and he is averaging 2.5 steals + blocks at residence this season, so the prospect to get this at plus-money is a robust worth to Oh. Thompson has performed not less than half-hour in 4 straight video games for the Pistons and the mannequin expects that to proceed.

“Tobias Harris and Jalen Duren are each on the harm listing,” Oh mentioned. “With Duren and Harris in our projection, Thompson is projected for 28 minutes, however that might simply go as much as 30+. He has 3+ steals + blocks in 14 of 21 video games when he performs 25+ minutes and 25 minutes needs to be a flooring tonight. Bet365 is at present providing this at +115 odds.

Lonnie Walker IV Beneath 16.5 factors + rebounds (-106)

Walker has completed Beneath his factors + rebounds quantity in three of his final 5 video games, averaging 13.2 over that span. He had 18 factors in opposition to the Timberwolves on Saturday, however the sport earlier than in opposition to the Bucks, he shot simply 2 of seven for 4 factors over 17 minutes with 4 rebounds to complete nicely Beneath his complete. Walker’s utilization and efficiency has had no consistency from one evening to the opposite and the mannequin does not have excessive expectations for him on Monday.

The 76ers play the Warmth, who rank seventh within the league in scoring protection at 109.9 ppg this season. Walker had 10 factors and one rebound over 21 minutes in opposition to the Warmth on March 29. The mannequin initiatives him at 9.4 on Monday in one other tough efficiency in opposition to Miami. Caesars Sportsbook is at present providing the very best odds at -106.

Need extra NBA picks for tonight?

You have seen the mannequin’s NBA prop picks for the most well-liked props on Monday. Now, get NBA projections for each participant prop at SportsLine.