Blue Jays slugger Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has not hit a house run by way of his first 14 video games of the season, however he can have one other alternative on Saturday in opposition to the Orioles. Guerrero had 30 homers final season and is batting .278 up to now this season. He’s listed at +600 to hit a house run on Saturday at DraftKings. 5 gamers have already hit six homers in 2025, together with Yankees star Aaron Choose, who has not left the yard since April 4.
Each crew within the majors is in motion throughout the Saturday MLB schedule, so there are many methods to construct MLB house run parlays. With MLB HR props accessible for nearly each participant in each recreation at sportsbooks, SportsLine’s confirmed laptop mannequin may also help you discover worth so as to add to your MLB house run parlay picks.
The mannequin simulates each recreation 10,000 occasions and is on a 34-19 roll on all top-rated MLB picks on the run line relationship again to 2023. It has appropriately referred to as a house run prop in 4 out of 5 days this week for a +10.5u return general since Monday. Now, the mannequin and SportsLine’s crew of Information Scientists have revealed their projections for a number of the most-bet MLB HR props on Saturday. These three picks will be parlayed for +21680 odds and would pay out $1,084 on a $5 wager at FanDuel Sportsbook.
Josh Naylor HR (+600)
Naylor hit his first house run of the season on Wednesday in opposition to Baltimore throughout a 3-for-4 day on the plate. He blasted 31 homers final season, and he has been ripping aside right-handed pitchers this yr. This can be a favorable matchup in opposition to a rookie pitcher who’s making simply the third begin of his profession.
“Brewers’ rookie Chad Patrick was considerably house run inclined within the minors, and he has given up 2 HRs in 11 IP to begin his MLB profession,” SportsLine Information Scientist Jacob Fetner mentioned. “Josh Naylor has 13 hits in 30 ABs in opposition to RHPs this season, and our mannequin units his line at +390 to hit a HR tonight in opposition to the rookie RHP.” You will discover the most effective value for a Naylor house run at this time at FanDuel.
Francisco Lindor HR (+450)
Lindor is one other participant who hit his first lengthy ball of the season earlier this week, going deep within the first inning of a 10-5 win over Miami on Tuesday. The veteran has hit safely in eight of his final 9 video games, and it is just a matter of time earlier than his energy is on full show. He had 33 house runs throughout the 2024 common season earlier than including two extra within the playoffs. FanDuel’s value is 25 cents higher than the next-best e-book, making this a prop to focus on.
“Lindor has simply 1 HR this season, so his energy numbers are resulting from begin growing. The forecast signifies it must be extra hitter pleasant in Sacramento tonight, and we set the road round +350 for Lindor to homer,” Fetner mentioned.
You may as well go to SportsLine now to see the mannequin’s MLB rating projections and props for each recreation on Saturday, all from the mannequin on a 34-19 roll.
Riley Greene HR (+525)
Greene had three house runs in a four-game stretch initially of the month, however he has gone six straight video games with no homer. The 24-year-old has hit 37 of his 43 profession house runs in opposition to right-handed pitchers, and he’s dealing with a struggling righty on Saturday. The mannequin units his house run line at +370, creating worth at these odds.
“Greene is amidst slightly hunch after a robust begin to the season, however he has a positive matchup in opposition to a struggling Chris Paddack tonight. Paddack has given up 3 HRs in simply 7.1 IP this season and has a close to 15 ERA after two begins,” Fetner mentioned.
You have seen the most effective MLB house run picks from the mannequin. Now, see at this time’s greatest MLB picks from Matt Severance, who’s on a commanding 44-20 roll on baseball picks. Go to SportsLine to see his greatest performs for at this time, all from the skilled on a 44-20 roll.
