After going 16 video games with no house run, New York Mets first baseman Pete Alonso has gone yard in two of his final three video games, and the two-time MLB Dwelling Run Derby winner has hit house runs in bunches all through his seven-year profession. Nevertheless, you may nonetheless discover Alonso for as excessive as +375 within the newest MLB house runs odds from BetMGM, and the right-handed slugger will profit from the wind blowing out to left discipline on Wednesday. We’re recommending Alonso to hit a HR in our MLB house run parlay for in the present day, and you may even construct in some insurance coverage in your first MLB HR guess with the newest BetMGM promo code.

Any first-time customers involved in placing collectively MLB house run picks in the present day may improve their expertise with the newest DraftKings promo code or Fanatics Sportsbook promo code, simply to call just a few. With MLB props obtainable for nearly each participant in each sport at sportsbooks, SportsLine’s confirmed laptop mannequin can assist you discover worth so as to add to your MLB house run picks and betting technique. You can too see their greatest MLB hit props for Wednesday proper right here.

The SportsLine Projection Mannequin simulates each MLB sport 10,000 occasions. It is up 18.75 items on its MLB HR picks over the past 50 days. Now, the mannequin and SportsLine’s staff of Knowledge Scientists have revealed their projections for a few of the most-bet MLB HR prop bets on Wednesday. You will discover much more picks of their day by day weblog.

Greatest MLB house run picks for Wednesday, Could 28:

Pete Alonso, Mets (+375)

Alonso has been completely blistering the ball up to now in 2025, with a mean exit velocity of 94.5 mph and a hard-hit contact charge of 56.7%. Each rank 97th percentile or larger amongst MLB hitters and now that the house run drought is over, you may in all probability anticipate these spectacular batted-ball metrics to bear extra house run fruit. The mannequin units the road for Alonso to go yard at +330 and BetMGM is providing the most effective worth right here, however we’re taking him at +360 on FanDuel due to some vital worth later in our MLB HR parlay.

“You will get a comparatively excessive worth for Alonso to hit a HR in the present day as a result of White Sox SP, Shane Smith, doesn’t permit many HRs. Nevertheless, Smith would not typically make it previous the fifth inning, and the White Sox’ bullpen has allowed the fifth most HRs within the majors,” SportsLine knowledge analyst Jacob Fetner mentioned. “Alonso homered yesterday and has homered in two of his final three video games performed. He has 9 of his 11 homers towards right-handed pitchers and has been raking in day video games (.329 avg and .999 OPS).” Try the newest FanDuel promo code right here.

Wyatt Langford, Rangers (+340, initially +400)

After quickly climbing by the Texas minor league system after being drafted fourth general within the 2023 MLB Draft, Langford hit 16 house runs in his rookie season and has taken one other step ahead as an influence supply in 2025. He is already hit 10 house runs this season regardless of lacking a few weeks with an indirect pressure in April. 

“Langford is dealing with a rookie pitcher, Paxton Schultz, making his first profession begin. Schultz has been stable out of the bullpen from a numbers standpoint, however his statcast metrics point out that he’s performing higher than anticipated,” Fetner famous. “We set the road at +350 for Langford to homer.” BetMGM as soon as once more has the most effective worth however we’re enjoying this at +340 on FanDuel for the aim of our parlay.

Tyler Stephenson, Reds (+800)

Most books have this MLB HR prop listed between +450 and +575, so we’re getting super worth right here from FanDuel and that is why it is the location we’re utilizing to maximise worth for this MLB house run parlay. Stephenson bought off to a really sluggish begin after spending a month on the injured checklist with an indirect pressure of his personal, however he is homered in two consecutive video games now and he hit a career-high 19 house runs in 2024.

“Whereas the pattern dimension is small, Stephenson has hit lefties nicely in his 19 at bats towards them this season. He has 4 extra-base hits and a 1.124 OPS towards lefties in these restricted at bats. Stephenson is a profession .276 hitter towards lefties, which implies he has at all times seen the ball fairly nicely coming from that aspect,” Fetner mentioned.

The place to guess MLB props on Wednesday

Here’s a take a look at sportsbooks that can supply MLB participant props on Wednesday:

Extra MLB picks for Wednesday

You have seen the mannequin’s MLB HR prop picks for a number of gamers on Wednesday. Now, get MLB projections for each participant prop at SportsLine.

Want extra from SportsLine? See in the present day’s greatest MLB picks from SportsLine’s Matt Severance, who’s on a 128-65 roll on baseball picks. SportsLine’s Jason La Canfora can also be 26-18 over his final 44 MLB ATS picks, and he already has locked in picks for Wednesday.