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Predicting Inter Miami’s Games for the Remainder of the MLS Season as the Herons Chase a Playoff Berth

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After Lionel Messi led Inter Miami to the Leagues Cup title, scoring 10 goals and providing one assist, the team is now focused on securing a playoff berth in the Major League Soccer (MLS) season. Although Miami earned a first-half lead in their recent match against the New York Red Bulls, they are still 11 points away from ninth place in the league, with only 11 matches remaining. However, the team remains determined and optimistic about their chances.

In addition to earning points, Miami will also rely on help from other teams to secure a playoff spot, as they do not have complete control over their destiny. International breaks in September and October may also pose challenges for Miami, as several players could be absent due to national team commitments. Miami’s coach, Tata Martino, will need to work around these absences, but recent signings Diego Gomez, Tomas Aviles, and Facundo Farias will provide support.

Historically, the ninth-place team in MLS has earned around 43.3 points in the last three seasons. Miami is currently on 21 points and would need to average two points per game to have a chance at reaching this marker. Let’s now take a look at Miami’s remaining schedule and make some predictions:

Miami’s upcoming schedule and predictions

Aug. 30

7:30 p.m. ET

Nashville SC

Inter Miami 2, Nashville 1

Sept. 3

10 p.m. ET

@ Los Angeles FC

LAFC 3, Inter Miami 2

Sept.  9

7:30 p.m. ET

Sporting Kansas City

Inter Miami 3, Sporting 1

Sept. 16

5 p.m. ET

@ Atlanta United

Atlanta United 3, Inter Miami 3

Sept. 20

7:30 p.m. ET

Toronto FC

Inter Miami 5, Toronto 0

Sept. 24

7:30 p.m. ET

Orlando City SC

Orlando City 1, Inter Miami 2

Sept. 30

7:30 p.m. ET

New York City FC

Inter Miami 2, NYCFC 0

Oct. 4

8:30 p.m. ET

@ Chicago Fire

Chicago 1, Inter Miami 3

Oct. 7

7:30 p.m. ET

FC Cincinnati

Inter Miami 2, FC Cincinnati 3

Oct. 18

8 p.m. ET

Charlotte FC

Inter Miami 2, Charlotte FC 0

Oct. 21

6 p.m. ET

@ Charlotte FC

Charlotte FC 1, Inter Miami 3

If my predictions are correct, Miami would accumulate 46 points, which may have been enough to secure a playoff berth in previous seasons. It’s important to remember that the tiebreaker in MLS is the number of wins, not goal difference, which could work in Miami’s favor as they have not drawn many games compared to the teams ahead of them in the standings.

While the projections have limitations due to the small sample size and the increased importance of ninth place, Inter Miami, led by Lionel Messi, has already achieved historic success and should not be underestimated. They have been in incredible form and have yet to be stopped by any opponent.

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